2024年 5月 8日

What about the opposition defences?

作者 admin

By assessing the recent defensive displays of each DGW37 side’s opponents, managers can get a better idea of those who are most likely to score.

Newcastle and Man City look the standout attacks to invest in according to the Expected Goals Against (xGA) numbers.

The Magpies first play a Brighton side who have an xGA of 9.20 across their last six contests, and then face a Man Utd team who have a lofty 12.96 xGA across their previous six encounters. Those two figures combined come to 22.16 xGA, markedly better than the rest of the DGW37 sides.

Man City’s opponents have a combined 18.57 xGA over the same period, with the Spurs defence looking particularly porous, with an xGA of 12.49.

There’s very little between Brighton, Chelsea and Spurs in the analysis, while Man Utd fare the worst by some margin. Indeed, both their DGW37 opponents, Arsenal and Newcastle, were among the six best defences in the league for xGA across their last six matches.